── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cristian Garin
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
40%60%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
45th · average
Return
Cristian Garin
65th · average
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
54th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#99
model rank
#62
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
ARG
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Cristian Garin■ Juan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR128Cristian Garin7-6(2) 7-5
2026-02-23SantiagoClayR32Cristian Garin3-6 6-3 6-3