── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cristian Garin
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38%62%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Return
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#99
model rank
#51
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
ARG
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Cristian GarinJuan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR128Cristian Garin7-6(2) 7-5
2026-02-23SantiagoClayR32Cristian Garin3-6 6-3 6-3