── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cristian Garin a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cristian Garin
Facundo Diaz Acosta
52%48%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Facundo Diaz Acosta
32th · below avg
Return
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Facundo Diaz Acosta
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#99
model rank
#104
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
ARG
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cristian Garin■ Facundo Diaz Acosta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | Antofagasta CH | Clay | F | Cristian Garin | 2-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-09-29 | Antofagasta CH | Clay | F | Cristian Garin | 2-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2023-01-02 | Noumea CH | Hard | QF | Cristian Garin | 7-5 7-5 |