── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cristian Garin
Mariano Navone
30%70%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#99
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
ARG
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cristian Garin■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Costa do Sauipe CH | Clay | QF | Cristian Garin | 7-6(4) 6-2 |