── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ignacio Buse 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cristian Garin
Ignacio Buse
33%67%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Return
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#99
model rank
#40
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
PER
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Cristian GarinIgnacio Buse
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-10Montevideo CHClayFCristian Garin6-7(3) 6-2 6-2