── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ignacio Buse 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cristian Garin
Ignacio Buse
39%61%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Return
Cristian Garin
65th · average
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#98
model rank
#58
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
PER
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Cristian Garin■ Ignacio Buse
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-10Montevideo CHClayFCristian Garin6-7(3) 6-2 6-2