── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cristian Garin
Learner Tien
22%78%
Hard: 11% / 89%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Learner Tien
68th · average
Return
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Learner Tien
91th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#99
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
USA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cristian Garin■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Learner Tien | 6-0 2-6 6-0 6-2 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | Q1 | Cristian Garin | 7-5 7-6(7) |