── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Borna Coric 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Borna Coric
Mattia Bellucci
61%39%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Borna Coric
66th · average
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Return
Borna Coric
43th · average
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#79
model rank
#123
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CRO
country
ITA
188cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Borna CoricMattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-14BarcelonaClayQ1Borna Coric6-2 6-4