── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Borna Coric a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Borna Coric
Gabriel Diallo
53%47%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Borna Coric
70th · average
Gabriel Diallo
66th · average
Return
Borna Coric
44th · average
Gabriel Diallo
35th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#80
model rank
#94
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
CAN
188cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Borna Coric■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | Q2 | Borna Coric | 6-3 7-6(6) |
| 2024-10-14 | Almaty | Hard | R16 | Gabriel Diallo | 7-6(1) 6-4 |