── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Raphael Collignon 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Borna Coric
Raphael Collignon
41%59%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 50% / 50%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Borna Coric
70th · average
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Return
Borna Coric
44th · average
Raphael Collignon
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#80
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
BEL
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Borna Coric■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-24Lugano CHHardFBorna Coric6-3 6-1
2024-11-11Lyon 2 CHHardQFRaphael Collignon3-6 7-6(5) 6-4