── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Maximilian Marterer 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Maximilian Marterer
Federico Coria
58%42%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Maximilian Marterer
21th · below avg
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Maximilian Marterer
4th · poor
Federico Coria
27th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#182
model rank
#184
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GER
country
ARG
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Maximilian Marterer■ Federico Coria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q2 | Maximilian Marterer | 5-1 RET |
| 2016-07-11 | Germany F7 | Clay | F | Maximilian Marterer | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2015-06-22 | Italy F15 | Clay | SF | Maximilian Marterer | 6-0 6-3 |
| 2014-05-19 | Slovenia F1 | Clay | R32 | Maximilian Marterer | 6-1 6-0 |