── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Federico Coria a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Maximilian Marterer
Federico Coria
48%52%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Maximilian Marterer
19th · poor
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Maximilian Marterer
8th · poor
Federico Coria
64th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#173
model rank
#169
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GER
country
ARG
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Maximilian MartererFederico Coria
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay40
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayQ2Maximilian Marterer5-1 RET
2016-07-11Germany F7ClayFMaximilian Marterer6-1 6-2
2015-06-22Italy F15ClaySFMaximilian Marterer6-0 6-3
2014-05-19Slovenia F1ClayR32Maximilian Marterer6-1 6-0