── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Maximilian Marterer
Brandon Nakashima
16%84%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 12% / 88%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Maximilian Marterer
19th · poor
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Maximilian Marterer
8th · poor
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#173
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Maximilian MartererBrandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-09-14Davis Cup Finals RR: GER vs USAHardRRBrandon Nakashima6-4 6-2
2023-11-13Danderyd CHHardFMaximilian Marterer2-6 6-4 6-3
2021-01-31Quimper 2 CHHardQFBrandon Nakashima6-7(1) 6-2 6-4