── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Bolt a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Zhizhen Zhang
Alex Bolt
46%54%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Zhizhen Zhang
49th · average
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
Return
Zhizhen Zhang
15th · poor
Alex Bolt
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#153
model rank
#145
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Left
CHN
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Zhizhen Zhang■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Brisbane 2 CH | Hard | F | Zhizhen Zhang | 6-2 6-4 |