── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roberto Carballes Baena a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Zhizhen Zhang
Roberto Carballes Baena
48%52%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 70% / 30%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Zhizhen Zhang
49th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Zhizhen Zhang
15th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#153
model rank
#147
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHN
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Zhizhen ZhangRoberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardR32Zhizhen Zhang6-4 6-4
2024-09-18HangzhouHardQFZhizhen Zhang6-3 6-3
2022-05-16Tunis CHClaySFRoberto Carballes Baena6-2 6-1