── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Zhizhen Zhang
Denis Shapovalov
28%72%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Zhizhen Zhang
49th · average
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Zhizhen Zhang
15th · poor
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#153
model rank
#66
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CHN
country
CAN
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Zhizhen Zhang■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-04-24 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Zhizhen Zhang | 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(1) |