── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Christopher Oconnell 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Elias Ymer
Christopher Oconnell
39%61%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#168
model rank
#142
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SWE
country
AUS
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Elias Ymer■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay3–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Birmingham CH | Grass | R32 | Elias Ymer | 7-6(7) 6-3 |
| 2025-05-18 | Hamburg | Clay | Q1 | Elias Ymer | 6-2 3-6 6-4 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q1 | Elias Ymer | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2017-06-19 | Poprad-Tatry CH | Clay | R32 | Elias Ymer | 6-4 6-4 |