── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Elias Ymer
Mackenzie Mcdonald
39%61%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Elias Ymer
7th · poor
Mackenzie Mcdonald
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#182
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SWE
country
USA
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Elias Ymer■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Acapulco | Hard | Q1 | Elias Ymer | 7-6(7) 4-6 6-4 |
| 2020-11-16 | Orlando CH | Hard | R16 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2018-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-4 6-3 4-6 6-1 |