── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Yosuke Watanuki a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Elias Ymer
Yosuke Watanuki
48%52%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Yosuke Watanuki
14th · poor
Return
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Yosuke Watanuki
31th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#168
model rank
#164
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SWE
country
JPN
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Elias Ymer■ Yosuke Watanuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | Kobe CH | Hard | F | Yosuke Watanuki | 3-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2022-03-04 | Davis Cup QLS R1: SWE vs JPN | Hard | RR | Elias Ymer | 6-3 6-3 |