── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sho Shimabukuro 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Elias Ymer
Sho Shimabukuro
39%61%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Return
Elias Ymer
8th · poor
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#182
model rank
#154
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
SWE
country
JPN
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Elias Ymer■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Birmingham CH | Grass | R16 | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-10-27 | Seoul CH | Hard | SF | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-1 4-6 6-3 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q3 | Elias Ymer | 7-6(3) 6-3 6-1 |