── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Shevchenko 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Elias Ymer
Alexander Shevchenko
32%68%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Return
Elias Ymer
8th · poor
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#182
model rank
#137
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SWE
country
KAZ
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Elias Ymer■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Alexander Shevchenko | 3-6 7-5 6-4 6-1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | Q1 | Elias Ymer | 6-4 7-6(4) |