── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jacob Fearnley a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Elias Ymer
Jacob Fearnley
45%55%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 50% / 50%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#168
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SWE
country
GBR
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Elias YmerJacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13StockholmHardR16Elias Ymer6-2 6-2