── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Elias Ymer
Mattia Bellucci
19%81%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Return
Elias Ymer
8th · poor
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#182
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
SWE
country
ITA
185cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Elias Ymer■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q1 | Mattia Bellucci | 4-6 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2024-08-12 | Cary CH | Hard | Q1 | Mattia Bellucci | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2023-10-02 | Alicante CH | Hard | R16 | Elias Ymer | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-3 |