── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jordan Thompson 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jordan Thompson
Kei Nishikori
60%40%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Return
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#80
model rank
#119
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
JPN
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jordan Thompson■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–3
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | R16 | Kei Nishikori | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2023-07-24 | Atlanta | Hard | R32 | Kei Nishikori | 7-6(5) 7-6(5) |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Jordan Thompson | 7-5 6-4 5-7 6-3 |
| 2017-01-02 | Brisbane | Hard | QF | Kei Nishikori | 6-1 6-1 |