── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Marcos Giron a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jordan Thompson
Marcos Giron
46%54%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 50% / 50%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Return
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Marcos Giron
71th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#80
model rank
#65
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jordan ThompsonMarcos Giron
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR128Jordan Thompson3-6 6-4 7-5
2022-01-10SydneyHardR32Jordan Thompson6-4 6-2