── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jordan Thompson a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jordan Thompson
Benjamin Bonzi
53%47%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Benjamin Bonzi
51th · average
Return
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Benjamin Bonzi
36th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#80
model rank
#94
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jordan ThompsonBenjamin Bonzi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR64Jordan Thompson7-5 6-7(2) 4-6 6-2 6-4