── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jordan Thompson
Matteo Berrettini
37%63%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 23% / 77%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jordan Thompson
66th · average
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Return
Jordan Thompson
62th · average
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#81
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ITA
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jordan Thompson■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Jordan Thompson | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-5 7-6(5) 4-6 6-1 |
| 2015-05-11 | Italy F9 | Clay | R16 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-3 |