── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hubert Hurkacz a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jordan Thompson
Hubert Hurkacz
45%55%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Return
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#80
model rank
#60
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
POL
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jordan Thompson■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Jordan Thompson | 7-6(2) 6-1 7-5 |

