── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jordan Thompson
Corentin Moutet
44%56%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#80
model rank
#57
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jordan ThompsonCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Jordan Thompson6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersHardR128Corentin Moutet6-4 4-6 6-3