── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jordan Thompson a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jordan Thompson
Corentin Moutet
55%45%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jordan Thompson
65th · average
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Jordan Thompson
62th · average
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#80
model rank
#101
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jordan Thompson■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Jordan Thompson | 6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Corentin Moutet | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |