── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ugo Humbert 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jordan Thompson
Ugo Humbert
36%64%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Return
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Ugo Humbert
63th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#80
model rank
#39
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jordan ThompsonUgo Humbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard22
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Ugo Humbert6-3 7-6(4)
2024-10-28Paris MastersHardQFUgo Humbert6-2 7-6(4)
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardR64Jordan Thompson3-6 6-3 7-6(4)
2024-01-01BrisbaneHardR16Jordan ThompsonW/O