── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jordan Thompson 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jordan Thompson
Aleksandar Kovacevic
58%42%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Aleksandar Kovacevic
68th · average
Return
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Aleksandar Kovacevic
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#80
model rank
#113
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jordan ThompsonAleksandar Kovacevic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass20
Clay10
Hard01
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-09s HertogenboschGrassR32Jordan Thompson6-4 6-4
2024-04-01HoustonClayR16Jordan Thompson4-6 7-6(1) 7-6(7)
2024-02-26AcapulcoHardR32Aleksandar Kovacevic6-3 5-7 6-4
2023-07-17NewportGrassR32Jordan Thompson6-0 6-1