── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jordan Thompson a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jordan Thompson
Gabriel Diallo
52%48%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#80
model rank
#93
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
CAN
183cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jordan Thompson■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | R16 | Gabriel Diallo | 4-6 6-1 7-5 |
| 2023-05-08 | Busan CH | Hard | QF | Gabriel Diallo | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-09-19 | Columbus CH | Hard | QF | Jordan Thompson | 6-2 6-1 |