── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jordan Thompson a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jordan Thompson
Ethan Quinn
50%50%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Ethan Quinn
52th · average
Return
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Ethan Quinn
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#80
model rank
#81
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jordan ThompsonEthan Quinn
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-31HoustonClayR32Ethan Quinn4-6 6-4 6-3
2022-09-26Charleston CHHardR16Jordan Thompson6-2 2-6 6-3