── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jordan Thompson
Alex Michelsen
29%71%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jordan Thompson
65th · average
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Jordan Thompson
62th · average
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#80
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jordan Thompson■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | Hard | R16 | Jordan Thompson | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024-02-19 | Los Cabos | Hard | QF | Jordan Thompson | 0-6 7-6(1) 7-5 |
| 2023-02-20 | Rome GA CH | Hard | F | Jordan Thompson | 6-4 6-2 |