── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jordan Thompson
Alex Michelsen
40%60%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#80
model rank
#47
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jordan ThompsonAlex Michelsen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard30
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-12-30BrisbaneHardR16Jordan Thompson7-5 6-3
2024-02-19Los CabosHardQFJordan Thompson0-6 7-6(1) 7-5
2023-02-20Rome GA CHHardFJordan Thompson6-4 6-2