── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Gael Monfils 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Gael Monfils
35%65%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 43% / 57%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Gael Monfils
60th · average
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Gael Monfils
73th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#73
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
178cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mackenzie McdonaldGael Monfils
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubGrassR32Mackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-4