── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Marco Trungelliti 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Marco Trungelliti
43%57%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Marco Trungelliti
23th · below avg
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#106
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mackenzie McdonaldMarco Trungelliti
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-02AthensHardQ1Mackenzie Mcdonald2-6 6-2 7-5
2021-05-31Roland GarrosClayQ3Mackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-4