── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
David Goffin
52%48%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 38% / 62%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
David Goffin
13th · poor
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
David Goffin
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#141
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BEL
178cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mackenzie McdonaldDavid Goffin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR128Mackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-4
2021-08-30Us OpenHardR128Mackenzie Mcdonald6-2 7-5 6-3
2013-08-11Cincinnati MastersHardR64David Goffin6-1 6-1