── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes David Goffin a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
David Goffin
49%51%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
David Goffin
8th · poor
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
41th · average
David Goffin
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#158
model rank
#152
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BEL
178cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ David Goffin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR128Mackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-4
2021-08-30Us OpenHardR128Mackenzie Mcdonald6-2 7-5 6-3
2013-08-11Cincinnati MastersHardR64David Goffin6-1 6-1