── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Nikoloz Basilashvili
43%57%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#105
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GEO
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ Nikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
Clay1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | R16 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-2 7-6(4) |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | Q1 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-1 6-7(4) 3-2 RET |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-0 6-1 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-3 6-1 6-4 |
| 2022-02-07 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-3 6-2 |