── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Bernard Tomic
67%33%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
9th · poor
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#175
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
178cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ Bernard Tomic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-22 | Jingshan CH | Hard | QF | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 7-5 7-6(5) |