── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Roberto Carballes Baena
55%45%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#147
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Quimper CH | Hard | R16 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-4 6-4 |