── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Christopher Oconnell 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Christopher Oconnell
36%64%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 44% / 56%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Christopher Oconnell
41th · average
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
41th · average
Christopher Oconnell
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#158
model rank
#104
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-29WimbledonGrassQ3Mackenzie Mcdonald6-3 6-4 6-4
2017-10-09Fairfield CHHardSFMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 7-5