── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Nick Kyrgios
77%23%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 10% / 90%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Nick Kyrgios
97th · elite
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Nick Kyrgios
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#180
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
178cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ Nick Kyrgios
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Nick Kyrgios | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-04-04 | Houston | Clay | R32 | Nick Kyrgios | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-08-02 | Washington | Hard | R64 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-4 6-4 |