── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Elias Ymer
64%36%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#168
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
SWE
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Acapulco | Hard | Q1 | Elias Ymer | 7-6(7) 4-6 6-4 |
| 2020-11-16 | Orlando CH | Hard | R16 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2018-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-4 6-3 4-6 6-1 |