── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Botic Van De Zandschulp 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Botic Van De Zandschulp
33%67%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#62
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
NED
178cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mackenzie McdonaldBotic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
Grass10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-17ChengduHardR32Mackenzie Mcdonald6-4 3-6 6-3
2024-06-10s HertogenboschGrassR32Mackenzie Mcdonald6-4 4-6 6-2
2022-01-03MelbourneHardR16Botic Van De Zandschulp6-2 7-5