── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
Hugo Grenier
62%38%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Hugo Grenier
7th · poor
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Hugo Grenier
26th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#165
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
178cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ Hugo Grenier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | Q2 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 7-6(4) 6-1 |
| 2022-04-18 | Barcelona | Clay | R64 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-7(2) 6-1 7-6(2) |