── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Hugo Grenier
62%38%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 71% / 29%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Hugo Grenier
5th · poor
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
41th · average
Hugo Grenier
22th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#158
model rank
#183
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
178cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ Hugo Grenier
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardQ2Mackenzie Mcdonald7-6(4) 6-1
2022-04-18BarcelonaClayR64Mackenzie Mcdonald6-7(2) 6-1 7-6(2)