── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Mikael Ymer
75%25%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Mikael Ymer
2th · poor
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Mikael Ymer
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#179
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
SWE
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mackenzie McdonaldMikael Ymer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
Hard02
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2023-06-26EastbourneGrassQFMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 3-6 6-3
2023-01-09Adelaide 2HardR16Mikael Ymer3-6 7-6(2) 6-3
2020-01-13AucklandHardQ2Mikael Ymer6-4 6-3