── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Brandon Holt
61%39%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Brandon Holt
8th · poor
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Brandon Holt
24th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#159
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mackenzie McdonaldBrandon Holt
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard30
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-06Jinan CHHardQFMackenzie Mcdonald6-3 4-6 7-6(7)
2025-08-17Winston-SalemHardR64Mackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-7(2) 7-6(2)
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardQ2Mackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-4