── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Aleksandar Kovacevic a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Aleksandar Kovacevic
45%55%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 76% / 24%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Aleksandar Kovacevic
68th · average
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Aleksandar Kovacevic
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#113
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mackenzie McdonaldAleksandar Kovacevic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard02
Grass10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20ViennaHardQ2Aleksandar Kovacevic2-6 6-1 6-2
2025-06-16Queen's ClubGrassQ1Mackenzie Mcdonald6-2 7-6(6)
2022-09-26SeoulHardQFAleksandar Kovacevic4-6 6-3 6-2