── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rinky Hijikata a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Rinky Hijikata
45%55%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 46% / 54%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Rinky Hijikata
12th · poor
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Rinky Hijikata
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#112
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mackenzie McdonaldRinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass12
Hard10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-01Birmingham CHGrassR16Rinky Hijikata6-3 7-6(5)
2024-10-07Hangzhou CHHardQFMackenzie Mcdonald6-2 6-1
2024-07-15NewportGrassR32Mackenzie Mcdonald4-6 7-6(4) 6-2
2023-06-12s HertogenboschGrassQFRinky Hijikata5-7 6-3 6-1