── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Cazaux 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Arthur Cazaux
27%73%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 16% / 84%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Arthur Cazaux
74th · strong
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Arthur Cazaux
48th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#159
model rank
#65
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ Arthur Cazaux
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-06Jinan CHHardFArthur Cazaux6-3 6-2
2024-10-14Shenzhen Longhua CHHardFMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 7-6(4)