── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jaime Faria 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Jaime Faria
35%65%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 60% / 40%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Jaime Faria
40th · average
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Jaime Faria
36th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#69
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POR
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mackenzie McdonaldJaime Faria
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Bratislava 2 CHHardR32Mackenzie Mcdonald6-3 7-6(6)