── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jaime Faria 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Jaime Faria
29%71%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 9% / 91%
Grass: 41% / 59%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Jaime Faria
49th · average
Return
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Jaime Faria
34th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#159
model rank
#71
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POR
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mackenzie Mcdonald■ Jaime Faria
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Bratislava 2 CHHardR32Mackenzie Mcdonald6-3 7-6(6)