── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Quentin Halys
Daniil Medvedev
16%84%
Hard: 13% / 87%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Quentin Halys
75th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Quentin Halys
13th · poor
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#88
model rank
#5
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
191cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Quentin Halys■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Grass0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(9) 6-3 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2015-03-16 | France F6 | Hard | R16 | Quentin Halys | 7-6(7) 6-4 |