── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex De Minaur 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Quentin Halys
Alex De Minaur
28%72%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 15% / 85%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Quentin Halys
88th · strong
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Return
Quentin Halys
15th · poor
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#54
model rank
#10
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Quentin Halys■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–2
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-03BeijingHardR16Alex De Minaur3-6 7-6(5) 7-5
2026-08-16Cincinnati MastersHardR64Alex De Minaur1-6 6-3 7-6(4)
2023-03-20Miami MastersHardR64Quentin Halys6-7(5) 7-6(3) 7-6(8)
2017-05-22LyonClayQ1Quentin Halys6-7(5) 6-2 7-6(8)